The 2022 Housing Crash is underway. And it could be even worse than 2008, with some markets experiencing 40% Home Price Drops.

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The US Housing Market is in a bigger Housing Bubble than 2022 according to the Case Shiller Home Price Index. But not all cities across America are in Bubbles.

The cities that will face the Biggest Home Value Crash are the ones where Home Price have vaulted above fundamentals the most. For instance, the Reventure Consulting Home Price Model predicts that the Charlotte Housing Market will crash by 27%. Salt Lake City will crash by 29%. And Seattle will crash by 28%. But meanwhile New York Home Prices are only projected to decline by 11%.

What explains these differences? 3 Key Metrics that are included in the Reventure Consulting Home Price Model: Historical Appreciation Trend, Price/Earnings Ratio, and Price/Rent Ratio.


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0:20 Biggest Housing Bubble Ever
3:10 Home Price Trend (New York v Austin)
6:17 Phoenix’s ABSURD P/E Ratio
9:40 Price / Rent Ratio (Seattle v Albany)
12:12 2022 Housing Crash = GOOD THING
13:39 Requests

#HousingCrash #Recession

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34 Responses

  1. Due to high rental prices, and my credit card debt, Im currently in Portland, Maine area living in my SUV that I converted into a camper. After 4 months living in my SUV , I was able to reduce my credit card debt of $20000 to below $9000 and I expect to be debt free in the next 3-4 months. My credit score went up by 143 points. I want to buy a small piece of land and build a small home , hopefully by the end of next year. Iā€™m waiting for the prices to go down and watching the market while I get my finances in order.

  2. Can you please cover about Colorado, lender brokers who work closely with builders and realtor approved with out consideration income in order to increase the house price. You can investigate!!

  3. Thank you!! You supported what I was feeling and researching in North Carolina which was to Wait! 200K homes selling for 600-700K was just ridiculous and these realtors were pushing hard for me to buy. I am so glad I started watching you three months ago and held on to my stance to just wait.

  4. Comments on your model that affects California and Portland: Do you plan to add more factors to your models to account for types of industries that support metro areas? Seems like that's critical to a reliable model.

  5. I live in yamhill county, Oregon. I live in a house I rent. My brother owns it. 2016 it was 295k. Now Zillow has it at almost double. The whole area of oregons is nuts. I hate it. I want to buy a house. How much are they expecting yamhill country or areas in Portland are suppose to drop?????? Rent has doubled in the last 5 years. I hate it so much.

  6. During the 50's there was a record rate of homebuilding to get people into homes, post war. Supply vs demand slowly dropped over the ensuing years. When supply lags demand, a real return is generated, ie above inflation rate

  7. Factor in real estate estate related job losses or drops in commissions. average salaries will be lower along with banks reluctant to lend. Young people should wait to buy!

  8. Are you taking into account Migratory patterns? For example, In Phoenix if left to its own internal numbers it would probably have a much larger drop than it inevitably will. Are you taking into account though that while to folks in Phoenix the prices are high but to folks leaving say…San Francisco or Los Angeles they might sell their home there at a big discount and still come over to Phoenix and buy a similar sized home at that same price. So some of that lost internal demand within Phoenix will get replaced by migrant house buyers from other markets that have considerably higher housing prices. I'm curious if there are any numbers you have to show how big or small this migratory effect will be for some cities like Phoenix.

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